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August 2008 |
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Issue 3 |
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As we pass the one-year mark of the
credit market turmoil, who would have predicted last August that the
market would look like this a year later? With the evaporation of
the CMBS market and traditional lenders filling only a small
percentage of the void, we went from a plethora of capital to a
limited amount of capital in a matter of 3 months; or at least a
limited amount of
available capital as significant amounts remain
sidelined waiting for a clear “bottom” to the market.
In addition to life companies, we
have seen local and regional banks, mezzanine sources of capital and
various capital funds stepping up to also fill some of the void; but
with limited allocations many of these knights in shining armor have
already reached annual limits. Deals are still getting done; some
with traditional lenders and some with the various new lenders that
are entering the market everyday. However, the understatement of the
year is that the market looks and feels very different than it did
in August of 2007 and thus the typical deal looks and feels very
different as well. Lenders underwriting standards have swung to the
opposite side of the pendulum.
Examples of the structural changes
are: 1) recourse is more commonly a necessity; 2) overall debt
coverage ratios have widened; and 3) loan-to-value percentages have
narrowed. Lenders also appear to be more focused than ever on the
four main food groups (i.e. retail, office, multi-family and
industrial) and the more specialized lenders are looking to lend on
self storage deals. This seems to be happening because lenders tend
to better comprehend these assets classes and therefore limit their
perceived downside risk.
With the state of the capital
markets being what it is today having access to real-time knowledge
is crucial to the decision making process. Whether that decision is
to buy a property, sell a property or refinance it is important to
recognize that it currently is a lenders market. It is a necessity
to understand what lenders current requirements are, which lenders
are still in the market and how their requirements affect the
transaction.
Regardless of whether you are
looking for a short-term or long-term loan, most of the initial
questions are going to be the same. Lenders are trying to identify
the risk, gauge the scope of the risk, engineer ways to hedge the
risk and then determine whether the full package is within their
range.
This brings us to the topic of
recourse. Knowing the financial strength of the borrower, the
legitimacy of the story [of the property or properties they are
looking to buy or refinance] and the long-term plan with the real
estate is the lender’s focus. The better this information is
communicated the more focused will a lender be. More than ever the
financial capacity and property-type experience of the borrower
greatly influences a lender’s terms and desire to “do the deal”.
Obviously, the more solid the financial status of a borrower the
more interested a bank will be in doing the deal. However,
property-type experience and to the story is equally important so
only best of class of borrowers and buyers will find market
debt-terms today.
Where creative terms and real-time
knowledge comes into play is with things like letters of credit,
deposit minimums to offset reserve effects and other alternative
credit enhancements. These creative terms balance the minimization
of risk for the lender while capping the personal exposure of a
borrower.
When evaluating a possible
transaction; whether it’s buying a property or refinancing an
existing property, being able to guarantee the loan with a healthy,
liquid balance sheet is of utmost importance. The more solid the
borrower, the more predictable the outcome will be; and
predictability is always a key component to a successful deal.
Obviously a strong guarantor and solid deal-merits coupled together
will guarantee that maximum loan dollars are achieved.
Being educated to market realities
is a prerequisite and finding an advisor that can guide your
expectations is a way to achieve this. Gone are the days of broker’s
taking on an assignment hoping it will transact/consummate and not
drilling down to the real merits of the deal to gauge the likelihood
up front. Credibility is a commodity in this market and the
communication of honest assessments and expectations are the
obligation of the brokers to protect not only their credibility but,
more importantly, the credibility of their client’s.
Created and distributed by HFF Self
Storage, formerly Storage Investment Advisors (SIA), Market Watch is
a monthly electronic newsletter that provides storage owners and
investors with brief highlights and analyses of the latest market
developments, investment real estate activity and financing news.
Our hope is that this information, interpretation and analysis will
help you better understand current self storage real estate and
financial conditions, and support your investment decisions.
If you have a story idea for a
future issue of Market Watch, or want to learn about a particular
aspect of the self storage real estate or finance industry, let us
know! Please forward your ideas and suggestions to Market Watch
Editor Jessica Mandel at
jmandel@hfflp.com or 713.376.2216.
Contact us to learn how we can
assist with your disposition, acquisition, or financing needs. |
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©2008 Holliday Fenoglio Fowler, L.P. HFF (NYSE: HF) operates out of 18 offices nationwide and is a leading provider of commercial real estate and capital markets services to the U.S. commercial real estate industry. HFF offers clients a fully integrated national capital markets platform including debt placement, investment sales, structured finance, private equity, note sales and note sale advisory services and commercial loan servicing. |
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